Griffin Tester

Figure 1: Annotations to help tell the story. **Please note, though:** some data reconciliation is needed. The data for the main line comes from Foodnet at https://wwwn.cdc.gov/foodnetfast/ but the data about the reduction target (11.4) and the baseline (15.0) come from https://www.healthypeople.gov/2020/topics-objectives/topic/food-safety/objectives, and they are based on slightly different numbers: https://www.healthypeople.gov/2020/data-search/Search-the-Data?nid=4478. I don't know where the 30% figure cited in the text comes from. Decreasing from 15 to 11.4 is a 26% reduction.

Figure 1

Goal Set, Not Met

Salmonella incidence rate per 100,000 people

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Foodborne Diseases Active Surveillance Network (FoodNet)

© 2021 The Pew Charitable Trusts

Figure 2: Basically the original with trend lines added and made prominent. The data jump around so much that it's hard to see what the trends are without them.

Figure 2

The Rate of Contamination Is Going Down for Most Chicken Products

Percentage of Salmonella–positive samples at slaughter or retail

Solid lines represent the linear trends for each product.

Note: FSIS started sampling and testing chicken parts for Salmonella in 2015 as performance standards for this product category were implemented. The agency did not test any ground chicken products in 2014; therefore, no data is available.

Sources: U.S. Department of Agriculture Food Safety and Inspection Service, and National Antimicrobial Resistance Monitoring System

© 2021 The Pew Charitable Trusts

Figure 3: One way to get both lines on the same axis is to express them as percentage change indexed to common point. Each line here is indexed against its 2006–08 average value.

Figure 3

Illnesses and Outbreaks Have Increased Since 2010

Percentage change compared to 2006–08 average

© 2021 The Pew Charitable Trusts

Figure 4: Separates contamination and incidence into two charts so the can be on different axes. (4a and 4b) Contamination uses trend lines to clarify the trends.

The remaining charts for the other serotypes could be handled in the same way.

Figure 4a

Salmonella Enteriditis: Contamination Prevalence Rates Are Going Up

Percentage of positive samples contaminated by Enteriditis serotype

Solid lines represent the linear trends for each product or sample type.

Sources: U.S. Department of Agriculture Food Safety and Inspection Service, and National Antimicrobial Resistance Monitoring System

© 2021 The Pew Charitable Trusts

Figure 4b

Salmonella Enteriditis: Incidence Rates Remain High

Human incidence rates per 100,000 people

human incidence rates of Salmonella cause by the Enteriditis serotype. low of 1.82 in 2003; high of 3.53 in 2010

Sources: U.S. Department of Agriculture Food Safety and Inspection Service, and National Antimicrobial Resistance Monitoring System

© 2021 The Pew Charitable Trusts

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